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Options Update: Alcoa Volatility Near 22-Month Lows

Alcoa (AA) closed at $13.51. AA is expected to report Q1 EPS in early April. April put option implied volatility is at 42, July is at 41, and October is at 43; below its 26-week average 46, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Citigroup (C) closed at $3.89. C overall option implied volatility of 46 is below its 26-week average of 53, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Three stocks with IV rise on March 15; Boston Scientific (BSX) +18%, Bidu (BIDU) +4%, Caterpillar (CAT) +2% according to IVolatility.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Pink Floyd Sends EMI to the Dark Side of the Moon

Record label EMI, which was purchased by Terra Firma Capital Corporation (TII) in 2007, was dealt a serious blow yesterday by the band Pink Floyd. The band filed a lawsuit against EMI because the record company started selling individual music tracks from Pink Floyd's two block buster albums, Dark Side of the Moon and The Wall online. The selling of individual music tracks is expressly forbid by the band's contract with the record label. Yesterday a judge affirmed that contract condition.

This turn of events comes not only as a serious blow to EMI, but as a gut wrenching twist in Terra Firma's continuing downward spiral. Terra Firma is currently engaged in a legal battle with Citigroup, Inc. (C) regarding its purchase of EMI at auction. Terra Firma has accused Citi of the use of "fraudulent measures" in completing that sale.

Continue reading Pink Floyd Sends EMI to the Dark Side of the Moon

Closing Bell: Markets Remain Muddled (C, GME, TM, POT)

Today was mixed on the economic front. Retail sales were actually positive rather than the expected drop of -0.2%. But then University of Michigan's Sentiment reading came out at 72.5, a reading about 2 points short of estimates. The January Business Inventories being flat in January had no real impact. The gap up this morning on the back of international markets came off and shares struggled between positive and negative territory all day. Yet one more day where the closing bell's direction was not known until the final minutes. Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 10,624.69 +12.85 (0.12%)
S&P 500 1,149.99 -0.25 (-0.02%)
Nasdaq 2,367.66 -0.80 (-0.03%)

Top Analyst Calls

Continue reading Closing Bell: Markets Remain Muddled (C, GME, TM, POT)

Closing Bell: A Jobs and Trade Deficit Victory (AIG, C, TEAR, SNV, CLNE)

A final hour of a rally put the market back in positive territory. But overall this was yet another day where the real close was not clear until the final minutes. The trade deficit was a non-event and the weekly jobless claims were a very slight improvement by 6,000 to 462,000 for the week. Even Senator Dodd going alone on a financial reform bill didn't hurt the markets.

Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 10,611.84 +44.51 (0.42%)
S&P 500 1,150.23 +4.62 (0.40%)
Nasdaq 2,368.46 +9.51 (0.40%)

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Continue reading Closing Bell: A Jobs and Trade Deficit Victory (AIG, C, TEAR, SNV, CLNE)

World's Dumbest Market -- Low Risk, High Reward

There has been little time to write lately because I have been wheeling and dealing in my investment world. However, I thought I would share one of the trades I did this week that seems like free money to me, and although the opportunity has faded a little I might do it again and you might want to examine this trade, too.

At the market open on Tuesday March 9, a good-til-canceled order filled -- selling to open Citigroup Inc. (C) January 2012 'puts' at a strike price of $7.50 -- paying $4.05. This transaction is commonly called a "naked put". The return on investment is 59% over the remaining 22-month period.

This is nuts because my break even position is $3.45 -- 20 cents a share less than it was the time of the trade and 60 cents less than the $4.05 (ironic isn't it) Citigroup is trading at now, as I type away.

Continue reading World's Dumbest Market -- Low Risk, High Reward

Before the Bell: Futures Lower After China Inflation Data

U.S. stock futures fell slightly Thursday ahead of weekly jobs data and after a report on rising Chinese inflation.

Investors mostly worried Thursday China may have to begin tightening its policies after a report released Thursday showed faster-than-expected inflation, while growth remained rapid and capital investment heavy. The consumer price index rose 2.7% in February from a year earlier, accelerating from a 1.5% increase in January's CPI. MarketWatch reports analysts had estimated a 2.4% rise. The stimulus measures the government has enacted in light of the global economic recession may have to be withdrawn.

Continue reading Before the Bell: Futures Lower After China Inflation Data

Closing Bell: Another Wishy-Washy Day of Trading (MCO, MHP, CVX, ITMN, AIG, C, MU)

Today's market was described as another wishy-washy day where no directional feel was present because of fluctuations from positive to negative. The closing bell being positive or negative was something that was not certain until the end of the trading day. Unemployment rose in 30 states, but this was a January figure. The notion that February's deficit was a record hardly had any significant dent.

The unofficial closing bell levels were as follows:

Dow 10,565.67 +1.29 (0.01%)
S&P 500 1,145.57 +5.13 (0.45%)
Nasdaq 2,357.90 +17.22 (0.74%)

Top Analyst Calls

Continue reading Closing Bell: Another Wishy-Washy Day of Trading (MCO, MHP, CVX, ITMN, AIG, C, MU)

Closing Bell: From a Big Win to a Partial Win (CSCO, BAC, BA, CMA, EDAP, C, FSLR)

Today was the one-year anniversary of the stock market's peak selling day. The DJIA is up about 61% from the March 9, 2009 close. Despite many stocks being higher and transports being higher, today was one of those days where the gains were almost taken away entirely toward the end of the day, and whether market would end the day up or down was not really guessable until right before the 4PM close.

Here were the unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 10,564.53 +12.01 (0.11%)
S&P 500 1,140.43 +1.93 (0.17%)
Nasdaq 2,340.68 +8.47 (0.36%)

Top Analyst Calls
Top Day Trader Stocks

Continue reading Closing Bell: From a Big Win to a Partial Win (CSCO, BAC, BA, CMA, EDAP, C, FSLR)

MetLife to Spend $15 Billion on AIG Life Division

It looks like American International Group (AIG) has found another $15.5 billion. The insurance company is selling its American Life Insurance Co. division to MetLife (MET) for $6.8 billion in cash and $8.7 billion in equities. Approximately $9 billion from this sale will be used to repay funds provided by the Federal Reserve, totaling $182.3 billion. This follows the announcement of Prudential's $35.5 billion designs on AIG's Asian operations.

Robert Haines, analyst at CreditSights, tells Bloomberg News, "This is a sizeable transaction." He continues, "It demonstrates they're making some tangible progress on their plan to divest assets."

Continue reading MetLife to Spend $15 Billion on AIG Life Division

Citibank Trips over Regulations

Imagine that you go to withdraw funds from your checking account, only to find that you must give your bank seven days prior notice of the action. Does that sound outlandish? This regulatory fine print has been made all too real for customers of Citibank (C).

In an informational snafu that got out of hand, Citibank notified its customers that it has the right, or the responsibility, to delay customers from retrieving their own money in certain rare instances. The misstep occurred when Citibank included this revelation on the statements of its customers nationwide.

Continue reading Citibank Trips over Regulations

Financial Crisis Didn't Push Bankers from Industry, LinkedIn Reports

The financial crisis, employment market and social media explosion have converged, providing a new level of clarity into what is happening in the world around us. Where was ground zero for this financial catastrophe? Well, according to the LinkedIn blog, five companies have shown the most action: Barclays (BCS), Credit Suisse (CS), Citigroup (C), Bank of America (BAC) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM). Interestingly, Goldman Sachs (GS), among the biggest winners now that we're pulling out from the recession, didn't see as much play.

Continue reading Financial Crisis Didn't Push Bankers from Industry, LinkedIn Reports

AIG Skips JPMorgan for Asian IPO

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) wanted a piece of what could be the most interesting insurance IPO of the year, but it won't get a taste.

American International Group's (AIG) Asian life insurance unit, American International Association, is going to go public in Hong Kong for an estimated $10 billion, and JPMorgan isn't being allowed to play, insiders say, because of a sour relationship that stretches back to the September 2008 financial crisis. As a result, it will be the only major investment bank not being admitted to the party.

Continue reading AIG Skips JPMorgan for Asian IPO

Analyst Upgrades, Downgrades and Initiations: ADBE, APD, BTU, C, DELL, PKY, SFY, WEC ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Baird upgraded Air Products (APD) to outperform from neutral on valuation following the sell-off after the company's bid for Airgas (ARG). The firm has an $89 price target on shares.
  • JPMorgan upgraded Peabody Energy (BTU) to overweight from neutral as it believes the company is well positioned for 2010. The firm has a $50 price target on shares.
  • Jefferies raised Adobe (ADBE) to buy from hold and has a $40 target on the stock. The firm believes concerns over the future of Flash are overblown and that shares of Adobe are attractive. Additionally, the firm expects CS5 to have a "decent" product cycle.
  • Dell (DELL) was upgraded to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
  • SXC Health Solutions (SXCI) was upgraded to buy from hold at ThinkEquity.
  • Harman (HAR) was upgraded to neutral from underperform at Credit Suisse.

Continue reading Analyst Upgrades, Downgrades and Initiations: ADBE, APD, BTU, C, DELL, PKY, SFY, WEC ...

Comfort Zone Investing: Not All Banks Are Equal

A rose is a rose is a rose. Thank you Gertrude Stein for that observation. But a bank is not a bank is not a bank. That's because not all banks are serving the same market, nor are they all offering the same loans. If you're going to invest in banks, be sure you understand who they're lending to and what kind of loans they have on the books.

The first group of banks is community banks. As you might guess, they serve specific communities, usually within a fairly narrow geographic region. They rely on that region for their deposits with which they'll make loans, and loan demand. In other words, they serve a well-defined community. They know all the neighbors, participate in the local activities, have a high profile, hopefully do good things for a community.

Continue reading Comfort Zone Investing: Not All Banks Are Equal

Why Can't the Banks Break Up Themselves?

While we wait for details on the president's plan to break up the banks, I wonder why the banks can't decide to break themselves up?

Wouldn't it be so much better to break up themselves than wait for President Obama to do it for them? Investment banks specialize in mergers and acquisitions and the converse spin-offs. Mergers and acquisitions are big business for Wall Street and they happen all the time. In fact, that's how many of the banks got so big.

Continue reading Why Can't the Banks Break Up Themselves?

Next Page »

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-37.1910,741.98
NASDAQ-16.872,374.41
S&P 500-5.921,159.90

Last updated: March 21, 2010: 09:16 PM

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